60/40 portfolio: return and risk in euros since 2008

In short

The “60/40 portfolio” allocation would have returned +7.28 % per year over the last 10 years up to 30 Oct 2026, +6.07 % after German tax. The largest decline from peak to trough in this period would have been -21.54 %.

Where the allocation comes from

The classic allocation of 60% stocks and 40% bonds has been the benchmark for balanced portfolios for decades. Here with global equities and eurozone government bonds.

Composition

ETFAsset classWeight
iShares MSCI World UCITS ETF (Dist)IE00B0M62Q58Stocks60 %
Xtrackers II Eurozone Government Bond UCITS ETF 1CLU0290355717Bonds40 %

Key figures by period

Rolling up to 30 Oct 2026: the most recent years in each case, the last column from the first common price of all ETFs on 2 Jan 2008. Before tax according to the standard of the Community-Backtests, below that the return after German tax.

Key figure1 year3 years5 years10 yearsSince 2008
CAGR+8.11 %+12.80 %+5.55 %+7.28 %+6.81 %
Volatility7.60 %8.33 %9.14 %9.42 %10.56 %
Maximum drawdown-4.84 %-13.47 %-16.00 %-21.54 %-26.85 %
Drawdown duration37 days165 days577 days577 days577 days
Sharpe ratio1.071.490.640.790.68
Sortino ratio1.672.180.891.080.94
Calmar ratio1.680.950.350.340.25
Ulcer Index1.332.686.915.636.50
CAGR after tax+6.40 %+10.53 %+4.34 %+6.07 %+5.89 %

Return by calendar year

Before tax, from the last price of the previous year to the last price of the year.

YearReturn
2025+4.90 %
2024+15.91 %
2023+14.63 %
2022-15.67 %
2021+17.99 %
2020+4.79 %
2019+21.14 %
2018-2.80 %
2017+4.44 %
2016+7.64 %
2015+6.93 %
2014+17.25 %
2013+13.59 %
2012+11.77 %
2011-0.74 %
2010+11.77 %
2009+16.99 %

Growth of €10,000

Month end by month end, before tax, with distributions reinvested.

€7,615€16,710€25,805€34,9002008201020132016201920222025

How it is calculated

Building blocks: ETFs already available in every Watchlist — the same prices as in the Community-Backtests, updated every night, in euros. You can recalculate every allocation in the backtest with the same securities.

Before tax: starting value €10,000, without costs and taxes, distributions reinvested, back to the target allocation on the first trading day of every year. Risk-free rate for Sharpe and Sortino: 0 %.

After tax: the same calculation with €100,000 and German flat-rate tax of 26.38 % without church tax, partial exemption per ETF, saver's allowance of €1,000, advance lump sum and tax on gains when rebalancing; at the end of the period everything is sold. Gains on gold are taxed like capital gains — with Xetra-Gold they would be tax-free after one year, so the after-tax figure tends to be too low there.

All portfolios end on the last trading day of the previous month and are recalculated every month.

Descriptive, not a recommendation: this page shows how well-known allocations would have developed in the past. Which one suits you depends on your goals and your situation.

⚠ Notice: The results were calculated after the fact from historical prices. They do not show the performance of an actually managed portfolio. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Paperball does not provide investment advice or investment recommendations.

Calculated on 2 Nov 2026

Recalculate with your own securities

In the backtest you recalculate the “60/40 portfolio” allocation — or any other made of your securities — with your costs and your tax.