World portfolio 70/30: return and risk in euros since 2014

In short

The “World portfolio 70/30” allocation would have returned +11.06 % per year over the last 10 years up to 30 Oct 2026, +9.74 % after German tax. The largest decline from peak to trough in this period would have been -33.11 %.

Where the allocation comes from

The world portfolio 70/30 gives emerging markets more weight than the global stock market does: 70% developed countries, 30% emerging markets. In Germany the allocation is known above all from books by Gerd Kommer. Here without bonds and calculated only from June 2014 — that is when prices of the emerging markets ETF begin.

Composition

ETFAsset classWeight
iShares MSCI World UCITS ETF (Dist)IE00B0M62Q58Stocks70 %
iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IE00BKM4GZ66Stocks30 %

Key figures by period

Rolling up to 30 Oct 2026: the most recent years in each case, the last column from the first common price of all ETFs on 30 May 2014. Before tax according to the standard of the Community-Backtests, below that the return after German tax.

Key figure1 year3 years5 years10 yearsSince 2014
CAGR+15.49 %+19.62 %+9.90 %+11.06 %+10.77 %
Volatility13.03 %13.30 %13.82 %15.06 %15.80 %
Maximum drawdown-7.43 %-20.70 %-20.70 %-33.11 %-33.11 %
Drawdown duration39 days142 days559 days559 days559 days
Sharpe ratio1.171.420.750.770.73
Sortino ratio1.792.021.051.061.00
Calmar ratio2.080.950.480.330.33
Ulcer Index2.233.846.446.317.32
CAGR after tax+12.89 %+16.66 %+8.46 %+9.74 %+9.54 %

Return by calendar year

Before tax, from the last price of the previous year to the last price of the year.

YearReturn
2025+10.47 %
2024+22.02 %
2023+16.14 %
2022-13.92 %
2021+24.58 %
2020+5.53 %
2019+27.92 %
2018-6.95 %
2017+11.42 %
2016+11.60 %
2015+6.06 %

Growth of €10,000

Month end by month end, before tax, with distributions reinvested.

€10,000€18,887€27,775€36,662201520172019202120232025

How it is calculated

Building blocks: ETFs already available in every Watchlist — the same prices as in the Community-Backtests, updated every night, in euros. You can recalculate every allocation in the backtest with the same securities.

Before tax: starting value €10,000, without costs and taxes, distributions reinvested, back to the target allocation on the first trading day of every year. Risk-free rate for Sharpe and Sortino: 0 %.

After tax: the same calculation with €100,000 and German flat-rate tax of 26.38 % without church tax, partial exemption per ETF, saver's allowance of €1,000, advance lump sum and tax on gains when rebalancing; at the end of the period everything is sold. Gains on gold are taxed like capital gains — with Xetra-Gold they would be tax-free after one year, so the after-tax figure tends to be too low there.

All portfolios end on the last trading day of the previous month and are recalculated every month.

Descriptive, not a recommendation: this page shows how well-known allocations would have developed in the past. Which one suits you depends on your goals and your situation.

⚠ Notice: The results were calculated after the fact from historical prices. They do not show the performance of an actually managed portfolio. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Paperball does not provide investment advice or investment recommendations.

Calculated on 2 Nov 2026

Recalculate with your own securities

In the backtest you recalculate the “World portfolio 70/30” allocation — or any other made of your securities — with your costs and your tax.